How Trump is using the 'Madman Theory' to try to change the world (and it's working)
President Trump's unconventional diplomacy strategy has some analysts questioning whether he's a madman or a genius
Some are concerned that President Trump's withdrawal from global agreements and public threats against US allies may be escalating tensions between the United States and the greater world. Yet others suggest that his brazen approach may be a deliberate strategic effort to strengthen America's negotiating position.
The 'Madman Theory'
Also known as 'crazy like a fox,' the 'madman theory' is a diplomatic strategy in which a leader purposefully appears irrational, volatile, and unpredictable to their enemies. The unpredictability creates doubt and anxiety among allies and rivals alike. It suggests that the leader may be courageous or unscrupulous enough to take any action regardless of the apparent consequences.
Those who support this theory believe that the best way to keep rivals in check is to convince them that you're certifiable. However, the risks are high since the tactic requires an extremely calculated application of violence and aggression. The line between appearing unpredictable and becoming unstable is delicate and difficult to manage.
Trump's Impact on North Korea
Take, for example, Trump's standoff with Kim Jong-un of North Korea. Trump has made repeated, public threats via Twitter to unleash the US military on North Korea if they don't abandon their nuclear weapons program. He has also made provocative statements such as referring to Kim Jong-un as "Little Rocket Man" and "madman."
Some analysts argue that this strategy has effectively deterred North Korea from engaging in warfare, given the US's military superiority. While his approach is widely criticized for heightening international tensions, Trump's aggressive rhetoric has led to peaceful talks and diplomatic efforts.
The 'Genius' Debate
On the other side of the debate, some analysts believe that Trump employs this tactic deliberately, calculatingly, and effectively, knowing that China and North Korea's desire for stability is greater than their desire for conflict. They suggest that Trump's approach leverages the US's military might and economic power to intimidate foes and secure more favorable agreements.
Whether madman or genius, Trump's 'madman theory' approach to diplomacy has certainly shaken the global order.
